phase-2: extract shared utils
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@@ -0,0 +1,73 @@
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import { YahooClient } from './YahooClient.js';
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import { REGIME } from '../config/constants.js';
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const TTL_MS = 60 * 60 * 1000;
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const DEFAULTS = {
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sp500Price: 5000,
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riskFreeRate: 4.5,
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vixLevel: 20,
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rateRegime: REGIME.HIGH,
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volatilityRegime: REGIME.NORMAL,
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benchmarks: { marketPE: 22, techPE: 30, reitYield: 3.5, igSpread: 1.0 },
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};
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const rateRegime = (rate) => (rate < 2 ? REGIME.LOW : rate <= 5 ? REGIME.NORMAL : REGIME.HIGH);
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const volRegime = (vix) => (vix < 15 ? REGIME.LOW : vix <= 25 ? REGIME.NORMAL : REGIME.HIGH);
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const pe = (summary) =>
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summary.summaryDetail?.trailingPE ?? summary.defaultKeyStatistics?.forwardPE;
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export class BenchmarkProvider {
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// logger: object with .warn() — defaults to console so CLI behaviour is unchanged.
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constructor({ logger = console } = {}) {
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this.client = new YahooClient();
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this.cache = { data: null, expiresAt: 0 };
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this.logger = logger;
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}
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async getMarketContext() {
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if (this.cache.data && Date.now() < this.cache.expiresAt) return this.cache.data;
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try {
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const [sp500, tn10y, vix, spy, xlk, xlre, lqd] = await Promise.all([
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this.client.fetchSummary('^GSPC'),
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this.client.fetchSummary('^TNX'),
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this.client.fetchSummary('^VIX'),
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this.client.fetchSummary('SPY'),
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this.client.fetchSummary('XLK'),
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this.client.fetchSummary('XLRE'),
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this.client.fetchSummary('LQD'),
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]);
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const riskFreeRate = tn10y.price?.regularMarketPrice ?? 0;
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const sp500Price = sp500.price?.regularMarketPrice ?? 0;
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const vixLevel = vix.price?.regularMarketPrice ?? 0;
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if (!sp500Price || !riskFreeRate) throw new Error('Invalid market data (zero values)');
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const lqdYield = (lqd.summaryDetail?.trailingAnnualDividendYield ?? 0) * 100;
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const context = {
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sp500Price,
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riskFreeRate,
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vixLevel,
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rateRegime: rateRegime(riskFreeRate),
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volatilityRegime: volRegime(vixLevel),
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benchmarks: {
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marketPE: pe(spy) ?? 22,
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techPE: pe(xlk) ?? 30,
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reitYield: (xlre.summaryDetail?.trailingAnnualDividendYield ?? 0.035) * 100,
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igSpread: Math.max(0.1, lqdYield - riskFreeRate),
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},
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timestamp: new Date().toISOString(),
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};
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this.cache = { data: context, expiresAt: Date.now() + TTL_MS };
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return context;
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} catch (err) {
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this.logger.warn('Market data fetch failed, using defaults:', err.message);
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return this.cache.data ?? DEFAULTS;
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}
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}
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}
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@@ -0,0 +1,63 @@
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import { SECTOR, ASSET_TYPE, REGIME } from '../config/constants.js';
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export class MarketRegime {
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constructor(marketContext) {
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const b = marketContext?.benchmarks ?? {};
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this.marketPE = b.marketPE ?? 22;
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this.techPE = b.techPE ?? 30;
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this.reitYield = b.reitYield ?? 3.5;
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this.igSpread = b.igSpread ?? 1.0;
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this.rateRegime = marketContext?.rateRegime ?? REGIME.NORMAL;
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this.volatilityRegime = marketContext?.volatilityRegime ?? REGIME.NORMAL;
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}
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getInflatedOverrides(type, sector) {
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if (type === ASSET_TYPE.STOCK) return this._stock(sector);
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if (type === ASSET_TYPE.ETF) return this._etf();
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if (type === ASSET_TYPE.BOND) return this._bond();
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return { gates: {}, thresholds: {} };
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}
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_stock(sector) {
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if (sector === SECTOR.REIT) {
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return {
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gates: {},
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// In HIGH rate environment tighten REIT yield floor — REITs must compete harder with bonds.
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thresholds: {
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minYield: +(this.reitYield * (this.rateRegime === REGIME.HIGH ? 0.95 : 0.85)).toFixed(2),
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maxPFFO: 20,
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},
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};
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}
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if (sector === SECTOR.TECHNOLOGY) {
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return {
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gates: {
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maxPERatio: Math.round(this.techPE * 1.3),
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maxPegGate: +(this.techPE / 15).toFixed(1),
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},
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thresholds: {},
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};
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}
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// In HIGH rate environment, compress the P/E tolerance — higher rates mean
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// future earnings are discounted more aggressively (lower DCF valuations).
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const peMultiplier = this.rateRegime === REGIME.HIGH ? 1.2 : 1.5;
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return {
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gates: {
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maxPERatio: Math.round(this.marketPE * peMultiplier),
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maxPegGate: +(this.marketPE / 12).toFixed(1),
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},
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thresholds: {},
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};
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}
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_etf() {
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return { gates: { maxExpenseRatio: 0.75 }, thresholds: { minYield: 0.5 } };
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}
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_bond() {
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// In HIGH rate environment demand a wider spread — the opportunity cost of holding
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// corporate bonds over Treasuries is higher when risk-free rate is elevated.
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const spreadMultiplier = this.rateRegime === REGIME.HIGH ? 0.9 : 0.8;
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return { gates: {}, thresholds: { minSpread: +(this.igSpread * spreadMultiplier).toFixed(2) } };
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}
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}
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@@ -0,0 +1,40 @@
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import YahooFinance from 'yahoo-finance2';
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export class YahooClient {
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constructor() {
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// Instantiate the client as required by v3
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this.yf = new YahooFinance({
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suppressNotices: ['yahooSurvey'],
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});
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}
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async fetchSummary(ticker, retries = 3, backoff = 1000) {
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for (let i = 0; i < retries; i++) {
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try {
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return await this.yf.quoteSummary(ticker, {
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modules: [
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'assetProfile',
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'financialData',
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'defaultKeyStatistics',
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'price',
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'summaryDetail',
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],
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});
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} catch (error) {
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if (i === retries - 1) throw error;
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await new Promise((res) => setTimeout(res, backoff * (i + 1)));
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}
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}
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}
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// Fetches upcoming earnings dates, ex-dividend date, and dividend date for a ticker.
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// Returns null on failure so callers can skip gracefully.
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async fetchCalendarEvents(ticker) {
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try {
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const r = await this.yf.quoteSummary(ticker, { modules: ['calendarEvents'] });
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return r.calendarEvents ?? null;
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} catch {
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return null;
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}
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}
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}
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